Novel Plasma Biomarker-Based Model for Predicting Acute Kidney Injury After Cardiac Surgery: A Case Control Study

基于血浆生物标志物的新型模型预测心脏手术后急性肾损伤:一项病例对照研究

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作者:Yichi Zhang, Haige Zhao, Qun Su, Cuili Wang, Hongjun Chen, Lingling Shen, Liang Ma, Tingting Zhu, Wenqing Chen, Hong Jiang, Jianghua Chen

Conclusion

Our research validated a promising plasma multi-biomarker model for predicting AKI after cardiac surgery.

Methods

This was a case-control study. Weighted Gene Co-expression Network Analysis (WGCNA) was applied to Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) dataset GSE30718 to seek potential biomarkers associated with AKI. We measured biomarker levels in venous blood samples of 67 patients with AKI after cardiac surgery and 59 control patients in two cohorts. Clinical data were collected. We developed a multi-biomarker model for predicting cardiac-surgery-associated AKI and compared it with a traditional clinical-factor-based model.

Results

From bioinformatics analysis and previous articles, we found 6 potential plasma biomarkers for the prediction of AKI. Among them, 3 biomarkers, such as growth differentiation factor 15 (GDF15), soluble suppression of tumorigenicity 2 (ST2, IL1RL1), and soluble urokinase plasminogen activator receptor (uPAR) were found to have prediction ability for AKI (area under the curve [AUC] > 0.6) in patients undergoing cardiac surgery. They were then incorporated into a multi-biomarker model for predicting AKI (C-statistic: 0.84, Brier 0.15) which outperformed the traditional clinical-factor-based model (C-statistic: 0.73, Brier 0.16).

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