Periodic-zone model predictive control for diurnal closed-loop operation of an artificial pancreas

人工胰腺昼夜闭环运行的周期区域模型预测控制

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作者:Ravi Gondhalekar, Eyal Dassau, Howard C Zisser, Francis J Doyle 3rd

Background

The

Conclusions

The proposed PZMPC algorithm strategically prevents nocturnal hypoglycemia and is considered a significant step toward deploying APs into outpatient environments for extended periods of time in full closed-loop operation.

Methods

A diurnal insulin delivery strategy based on predictive control methods is proposed. The so-called "periodic-zone model predictive control" (PZMPC) strategy employs periodically time-dependent blood glucose output target zones and furthermore enforces periodically time-dependent insulin input constraints to modulate its behavior based on the time of day.

Results

The proposed strategy was evaluated through an extensive simulation-based study and a preliminary clinical trial. Results indicate that the proposed method delivers insulin more conservatively during nighttime than during daytime while maintaining safe blood glucose levels at all times. In clinical trials, the proposed strategy delivered 77% of the amount of insulin delivered by a time-invariant control strategy; specifically, it delivered on average 1.23 U below, compared with 0.31 U above, the nominal basal rate overnight while maintaining comparable, and safe, blood glucose values. Conclusions: The proposed PZMPC algorithm strategically prevents nocturnal hypoglycemia and is considered a significant step toward deploying APs into outpatient environments for extended periods of time in full closed-loop operation.

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