The GLVC scoring system: a single-center model for predicting survival and hospitalization in patients with heart failure

GLVC 评分系统:预测心力衰竭患者生存和住院的单中心模型

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作者:Anna Chuda-Wietczak, Agata Sakowicz, Agnieszka Tycinska, Ibadete Bytyci, Agata Bielecka-Dabrowa

Aims

The aim of this study was to assess the predictors of adverse clinical events (CE) and the creation and evaluation of the prognostic value of a novel personalized scoring system in patients with HF.

Background

Heart failure (HF) is the only cardiovascular disease with an ever-increasing incidence. Aims: The

Conclusions

A novel and comprehensive personalized "GLVC" scoring system is an easily available and effective tool for predicting the adverse outcomes in HF.

Methods

The study included 113 HF patients (median age 64 years (IQR 58-69); 57.52% male). The new novel prognostic score named GLVC (G, global longitudinal peak strain (GLPS); L, left ventricular diastolic diameter (LVDD); V, oxygen pulse (VO2/HR); and C, high sensitivity C-reactive protein (hs-CRP)) was created. The Kaplan-Meier method and log-rank test were used to compare the CE.

Results

Results from final analyses showed that low GLPS (< 13.9%, OR = 2.66, 95% CI = 1.01-4.30, p = 0.002), high LVDD (> 56 mm, OR = 2.37, 95% CI = 1.01-5.55, p = 0.045), low oxygen pulse (< 10, OR = 2.8, 95% CI = 1.17-6.70, p = 0.019), and high hs-CRP (> 2.38 µg/ml, OR = 2.93, 95% CI = 1.31-6.54, p = 0.007) were independent prognostic factors for adverse CE in HF population. All the patients were stratified into a low-risk or high-risk group according to a novel "GLVC" scoring system. The Kaplan-Meier analyses demonstrated that patients in the high-risk group were more predisposed to having higher adverse clinical events compared to patients in the low-risk group. Conclusions: A novel and comprehensive personalized "GLVC" scoring system is an easily available and effective tool for predicting the adverse outcomes in HF.

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